Tuesday, November 4, 2008

My Prediction



Posted 2:57 PST. Just my thing, its like march madness brackets.

If you like Baseball Prospectus, check out http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/, the website for the same guy that devised a lot of the stats they use and also the PECOTA computer. He has put together election stuff for the site via a computer program. Its non-biased in terms of the fact that it is all based on numbers rather than party. I have been reading it for a while, I have a feeling his predictions will be as close as they are in the baseball world. As of final projections, 1.1% percent of the simulations run give a win to McCain, that is statistically crazy. I think he is right though.

7 comments:

  1. I personally dream of a dead heat tie. And then Bush makes them compete in a "Billy Madison" type competition to determine the winner. Now that sir is poetic.

    -Voluntarheel

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  2. At no point during your rambling incoherant response did you come anywhere close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now more stupid for listening. I award you no points and may god have mercy on your soul.

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  3. Ha! How much would you have paid to hear a moderator say that in the presidential debates? I'd give my entire personal collection of Mackey Sasser. Seriously, I would.

    -Voluntarheel

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  4. My predictions are similar to yours, but I'm picking Obama to win NC, IN, MO, MT, and ND. 381 electoral votes.

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  5. I did this for school, and we didn't come out with the same states.. But got the same number layout..

    338-200

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  6. Your prediction is going to be pretty darn close. I had hoped Obama would win both NC abd VA, but it looks like he may win NC and McCain may take VA...we will know soon.

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  7. Wow, I still have a chance to get this 100% correct. I wont, but I have a chance!

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